Saturday, October 1, 2011

Fab Five - Week 5 (NCAAF Predictions)

Had my first losing week in either College or NFL so far this year. Stings a little bit. We went 2-3 last week bringing the Fab Five record to 8-6-1 ATS so far. Now that I'm back in Philly I feel more connected to the college scene so I definitely look to turn it around this week. Click for the picks are the jump...

No. 14 Texas A&M (-2.5) vs. No. 18 Arkansas, Noon - ESPN
Both teams had rough losses last week to conference rivals. The Aggies lost to Oklahoma St. by a point and the Razorbacks got handled by Alabama. These two teams will be seeing a lot more of each other as Texas A&M prepares to join the SEC - Funny thing about that is, Texas A&M hasn't beaten an SEC team in 16 years. As it stands I expect these two offenses to put up a lot of points. The Aggies gave up 438 yards through the air last week and allowed 3 different receivers to catch at least 10 passes. For an Arkansas team that loves to throw the ball that's great news. I see the Razorbacks covering at Cowboys Stadium in this bounce back game.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State (-3), 3:30pm - ABC
Both teams have really only been tested once this year. The Spartans were defeated by Notre Dame and the Buckeyes lost to the U. I'm not really in love with either team this year but something tells me that Ohio State will be ready for their conference opener. They haven't dropped a game to Michigan St. in the past 7 meetings and have only lost 5 games at home since 2002. I'll take the Buckeyes solely based on home field advantage.

No. 13 Clemson vs. No. 11 Virginia Tech (-7), 6pm - ESPN2
Clemson QB Tajh Boyd is quickly making a name for himself in college football this year. His impressive performance against Florida St. last week gives him over 1200 yards passing and 13 touchdowns to only 2 interceptions so far through 4 games. Very impressive numbers all at home. What he hasn't seen yet is a team that can play defense and special teams like the Frank Beamer Virginia Tech team. While the Hokies have only played second-tier competition so far this year, I expect them to be too much to handle for this Clemson Tigers team on the road. I'll take Virginia Tech minus the touchdown in this one. 

No. 8 Nebraska vs. No. 7 Wisconsin (-10), 8pm - ABC
Finally a great non-SEC matchup! You just get that feeling that this is going to be a great rivalry for years to come - mostly because they have the same color uniforms and hail from the midwest. For this matchup I just like what QB Russell Wilson has been doing for this Badger team too much. I think they are legit BCS contenders and with a win against Nebraska they will definitely cement their spot in the top 5. Ten points feels like a lot, but I think Wisconsin is just that good. Let's go with the Badgers in the battle for the Big Ten. 

No. 3 Alabama (-4) vs No. 12 Florida, 8pm - CBS
Can anyone stop this Alabama team? This will be a great test. Both teams come in touting 4-0 records with good wins on their resumes so far. In what should be a classic SEC grind it out type of a game I see this one staying close. Alabama has the nations 3rd ranked defense and one of the best Running Backs in the country with Trent Richardson. For the Gators it will come down to can the spring the big play against this Crimson Tide defense... With two speedster in the backfield, Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey, I'll put my money on the Gators in the swamp to give Alabama all they can handle. I'll take the Gators plus the points in this one.

Last Week: 2-3
Season Record: 8-6-1

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